· School bus threshold reduces 40% of bus companies are expected to receive tickets

Yesterday, the Ministry of Industry and Information Technology (hereinafter referred to as the “Ministry of Industry and Information Technology”) published the “Special School Bus Production Enterprise and Product Access Management Rules (Draft for Comment)” on its official website (hereinafter referred to as “the “Access” Draft)” And publicly solicited opinions, the deadline is June 1, 2012.

A person familiar with the matter disclosed to the “First Financial Daily” yesterday that the “access” draft was lower than the first draft, and the number of companies that can get tickets will increase from the original 20 to 40.

"Admission" opinion draft is more feasible

The above-mentioned insiders have revealed earlier that in the first draft of the "Access", there are stricter regulations on the production capacity of enterprises. In addition to the provision of not less than 5,000 vehicles, the company is required to have complete vehicles, chassis and vehicles. The production capacity of the rack, and the production conditions of fully automatic mechanized welding line, assembly line and electrophoresis coating. This means that only refit companies with three types of chassis production capacity are excluded and cannot enter the school bus production qualification competition.

However, on April 11, the Industrial Policy Department of the Ministry of Industry and Information Technology held a symposium on “Special School Bus Production Enterprises and Product Access Management Rules” in Hangzhou, including 19 major manufacturers and related experts in FAW, Dongfeng, Yutong Bus and other industries. The meeting. The meeting made a lot of revisions to the first draft of the "Access", changing the hard requirements of electrophoretic coating into general requirements, and canceling the requirements of the "automatic mechanized welding line and assembly line".

"The conditions of the opinion draft are much lower than the requirements of the first draft. If according to the conditions of the first draft, at most 20 bus companies can enter the school bus production, but now this opinion draft seems that 30 to 40 companies can do it." The person in charge of the bus company who participated in the symposium on the "Admission" Opinions also told the reporter that the draft of the "Access" has been revised a lot from the first draft, which is more feasible than the first draft, and there is no monopoly of some large enterprises. It is conducive to full competition between enterprises and lowering the cost of school buses.

According to the "access" draft, the production qualification of the special school bus production enterprise is valid for three years, and the enterprise that needs to continue the production qualification should apply within six months before the expiration of the validity period.

Special school bus entry barrier 槛 lower

"Why is the draft requirement reduced so much? On the one hand, it has something to do with the School Bus Safety Management Regulations. In the "Regulations", it is allowed to modify the car factory to also be a school bus, but the requirements of the first draft only limit the OEMs can do it. In the opinion draft, the conversion plant is allowed to use the chassis of the special school bus, and it can also participate in the school bus production. On the other hand, if the school bus access requirements are set too high, many local enterprises cannot participate in the school bus production competition, and the local government hopes to enter the conditions. Lower some." The above-mentioned insiders said that in the "access" draft, the cumulative production and sales of passenger cars (including chassis) in the first three years of the application for the company were not less than 3,000 vehicles, or the production and sales of large and medium-sized passenger cars (including chassis) The requirement of not less than 1,000 vehicles has been lowered to a very low level, and enterprises in most places can do so.

Industry commentator Yu Chen believes that the “admission” draft of the school bus market is lower than the first draft, and it is related to the efforts of the local government. School buses are the same as new energy buses. The state funds, but the locals also have to pay for subsidies. Local governments naturally tend to subsidize local businesses and can create taxes and jobs. Secondly, from the perspective of affiliation, many bus companies such as Dajinlong, Zhongtong, Ankai, Huanghai and Futian are state-owned enterprises and belong to the local provincial or municipal SASAC.

Yuchen said that at present, the number of enterprises with qualified production of passenger cars in China is around 98, but the output can reach a certain scale but few. The top ten companies accounted for more than 65% of the entire bus market, while the top six companies with higher sales in the school bus market had a higher concentration of 81.5%. This means that the school bus market is much more concentrated than the bus industry. Those car companies with advantages in brand and technology will continue to increase their market share with the help of school buses. Those small and inefficient bus companies will be accelerated. However, this trend may slow down after the threshold for the “access” comments is lowered.

Shaozhong, the brand management department of Yutong Bus, believes that the lower threshold of the “access” draft will not have a significant impact on the school bus production market. The key is that the products can meet market demand.

“No matter what the entry threshold is, from the market point of view, what kind of school bus the customer buys is based on demand. Whether it can meet their needs is the most important. The market will win the fittest.” Shao Zhong believes that even now the school bus The manufacturing threshold is not high, but if the company's product safety and adaptability are poor, no one buys the product, and it will eventually be eliminated by the market.

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