Breakthrough in international technology, huge potential for machine tool import substitution

The market potential for import and export of numerical control systems amounts to 1.7 billion U.S. dollars. According to Luo Baihui, Secretary-General of the International Model Association, due to the lack of high-end systems for CNC machine tools made in China, the growth rate of CNC system imports has maintained a high level in recent years. From 2001 to 2008, the average annual import growth rate reached 30. %. In 2008, the import value of the CNC system was US$1.659 billion. The imported high-end numerical control system basically monopolized the domestic market, while the market share of imported mid-range CNC products also exceeded 70%. Import substitution market has great potential. Huazhong CNC is a leader in mid-to-high-end numerical control systems. Its technical performance has gradually approached the world's advanced level.

In the future, the CNC system market may form an oligopoly dominated by domestic systems. From the perspective of the top four concentrations of the domestic CNC system industry, the industry concentration of high-end numerical control systems and drive devices is high. Among them, the top four high-end numerical control devices almost monopolized the domestic CNC system market. Huazhong Numerical Control System ranks first in the mid-to-high-end numerical control system, with a market share of 66% and 30% respectively. Luo Baihui believes that Huazhong CNC will be the main beneficiary of the oligopoly market in the future.

For many years, China has become the world's largest machine tool consumer and the first importer. In 2009, China became the world's largest producer of machine tools for the first time. The annual output value of metal processing machine tools was 15.3 billion U.S. dollars, an increase of 7.6% year-on-year; consumption was 19.79 billion U.S. dollars, an increase of 0.5% year-on-year. However, due to the fact that China's machine tool products are still at the low end and their competitiveness is not strong, they need to import a large number of high-end machine tools while exporting low-end products. From the perspective of import and export in recent years, the year-on-year growth rate of imports is much higher than the growth rate of exports. At the same time, the export products are mainly low-end and medium- and high-end metal-cutting machine tools, and the low-cost, relatively technically-priced CNC machine tools, The processing center and combined machine tools have a smaller export volume. From the price point of view, the average price of imported products in the same category is much higher than the export price.

Luo Baihui, secretary-general of the International Model Association, said that the manufacturing equipment industry will still benefit from the great development of the downstream industries: the power production industry, energy structure adjustment, new energy and renewable energy will become the focus of the future power production industry. In the future, the 12th Five-Year Plan for the power industry will increase investment in clean energy such as hydropower, nuclear power, wind power and solar power generation. The installed capacity of clean energy will exceed 30%. In the field of wind power, it is expected that the installed capacity of wind power in China will reach 15-20 million kilowatts by 2020. In the field of nuclear power, related departments will update the “National Nuclear Power Mid-Long Term Development Plan (2005-2020)” and plan to set the development target of China's nuclear power generation at 86 million kilowatts by 2020, which is set in the 2007 plan. The 40-million-kilowatt target has been significantly raised. Aviation industry, strong air transport demand, driving the development of aviation equipment manufacturing. According to Airbus forecasts, China is expected to have 4,272 aircraft worth US$439.5 billion. The freight demand is expected to increase by 5.2% annually and will generate 3,439 freighter requirements. The launching and industrialization of domestic regional aircraft and large aircraft projects will bring about an increase in investment in the entire industry. The railway industry has further increased its construction in the areas of high-speed rail construction, freight line reconstruction and urban rail transit. According to the plan, by 2012, China will build a “four vertical and four horizontal” high-speed railway network with a total mileage of 13,000 kilometers, which will exceed the sum of the world’s high-speed railways and will link the Yangtze River Delta, the Pearl River Delta, the Bohai Rim and other regions. Dense urban areas. By 2020, the total size of China’s high-speed railways will reach 18,000 kilometers, and all parts of the country will enter an hour of life. It is expected that in the next five years, China’s high-speed railway construction will maintain large-scale investment, and the investment will remain at about 700 billion yuan per year. The inspection of the passenger dedicated line will release the freight capacity of the existing lines and lead to the heavy-duty reconstruction of freight trains and existing lines. In the automobile industry, the output of Chinese automobiles exceeded 13 million in 2009. The demand for advanced CNC machine tools in the Chinese automobile industry is huge. The automotive industry needs a large number of high-efficiency, high-performance, special-purpose CNC machine tools and flexible production lines, such as flexible production lines mainly for high-speed horizontal machining centers for engine machining and CNC machine tools for crankshaft machining. Automotive parts production demand a large number of CNC lathes, vertical and horizontal machining centers, CNC high-efficiency grinding machines and CNC gear processing machine tools. Shipbuilding and marine engineering equipment industries, textiles, construction machinery and agricultural machinery and other downstream industries have clear requirements for machine tools. The downstream industry demand will continue to be the biggest driving force for the development of the machine tool industry.

Future trend of equipment industry development: During the 12th Five-Year Plan period, heavy-duty, ultra-heavy-duty CNC machine tools, multi-axis linkage and compound machining machines, high-speed and high-efficiency machining tools, and large-scale machines will be developed for the needs of aerospace, marine and power generation equipment manufacturing industries. , precision CNC machine tools, etc., to the high precision, high efficiency, high automation, intelligent direction.Middle-grade CNC machine tools is the direction of market demand, heavy, super heavy machine tool market space will also be opened, the special machine tool market demand will gradually be released.

In the 12th Five-Year Plan, high-end CNC machine tools will become the focus of the future development of the intelligent manufacturing equipment industry. Luo Baihui, the secretary-general of the International Model Association, stated that the 12th Five-Year Plan focused on high-end equipment manufacturing, and automation demand gave birth to the rapid growth of the industrial robot market. As one of the seven strategic industries in the 12th Five-Year Plan, high-end equipment manufacturing will accelerate industrial upgrading and structural adjustment in the next five years. Strong demand will arise for manufacturing automation, and the industrial robot market will grow rapidly. Leading products in the domestic industry are mainly spot welding, arc welding, handling, special and clean robots, and are now in short supply. Among them, AGV robots maintain steady growth. AGV is mainly for the automotive industry. China's demand is about 1,000 units/year, and about 60% is provided by domestic manufacturers.