The third quarter tractor market will continue to remain high

The large and medium-sized tractor market will continue to lead the tractor market as the subsidies for agricultural machinery in various regions are gradually rolled out. July is the off-season sales season in China, and the market may grow slightly. In August, September and October, China's tractor market is traditionally sold well and it is expected to see a substantial increase.

The small four-wheel tractor in the small tractor has no agricultural subsidies. With the release of the market demand energy of the medium and large towed, the small growth space will be compressed. However, walking tractors have long been included in state subsidies, and their development potential is huge. It is expected that in July, August, September, and October, the demand for small tractors will increase month by month, and September or October will enter the peak period.

In the third quarter, the tractor market is still facing a good development environment, specifically in the following aspects. First, this year's second batch of agricultural machinery subsidies will start in the third quarter, which will continue to drive market demand.

Second, autumn farming is the main driving force for the tractor market in the third quarter. In particular, large-scale tractors will become the main models for the third quarter. Big trailers represent the direction of the development of the tractor market. With the changes in the form of agricultural farmland and the rapid development of agricultural machinery cooperatives and agricultural machinery giants, as well as the guidance of agricultural machinery subsidies, the large tractor market will usher in a new round of growth in the coming years. . In addition, with the adjustment of the agricultural industry structure, land circulation is spreading in more and more places, and the conservation tillage system has been promoted. In particular, the national regional planning for competitive agricultural products (2008-2015) will be gradually implemented. In 2011, large tractors will continue to make rapid progress and are expected to increase by about 15%.

Thirdly, the rise of agricultural machinery cooperatives and large agricultural machinery manufacturers has provided inexhaustible impetus for the development of the two-year-long development because of the higher efficiency and quality of work for large-scale tractors.

The market demand for small tractors still shows a rigid increase. As we all know, China is a country dominated by hills and mountains. Under the conditions of mechanized cultivation in the plains, many hills and mountains are still in the state of “slash and slash and burn”, and these areas have become the main force for driving market demand. In particular, in recent years, with the continuous increase in subsidies for agricultural machinery in China, mountainous hilly regions with low mechanization levels have become the main demand for small tractors.

In recent years, there has been a shift in the use of small tractors. From the past use of transport, it has now become farmland operations and transportation in the fields. In the future, it will gradually evolve into a management model mainly used for rotary tillage, sowing, fertilizing, film coating, spraying, plowing, transportation and Other purposes.

Its future development is mainly to improve product quality, improve driving comfort, constantly changing appearance and adaptability to new features. The small drag industry is a meager industry with low added value. In recent years, the product price will be mainly based on low prices. As the living standards of farmers increase, the proportion of high-priced and luxury models will increase.

Exports will continue the trend of the first half of the year and rise steadily. From the experience of China's agricultural machinery exports in the first half of this year, the agricultural machinery export market will maintain a double-digit increase this year. It is expected that the total amount in July and August will hover around 1.8 billion yuan, a year-on-year increase of around 10%. It will rebound in September, or it will hit a high of 2 billion yuan, an increase of about 16%.

Mainly because of the first, from the analysis of China's agricultural export trends and international export situation in the first half of this year, China's total agricultural machinery exports will continue to remain high this year. With the gradual recovery of the world economic situation, China's agricultural machinery exports are still worth the wait; Second, from Monthly trend analysis, the third quarter of recent years has been a period of weak export growth in China, especially in July and August, China's exports have been declining for two consecutive years, China's agricultural exports have experienced rational growth after experiencing recovering growth in 2009 and 2010. At this stage, we judge that the trend of agricultural machinery exports in the third quarter is still likely to follow the traditional trend.