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Japan is one of the fastest-growing countries for LED lighting. Since the nuclear accident, power shortages and national awareness of energy conservation have increased, and the willingness to replace LED lamps is strong. According to statistics, from the past sales of LED lamps in Japan in recent years, the highest sales year is 2012, and the shipments of LED lamps in 2013 did not rise and fall.
The main reasons for the analysis: First, the replacement of LED lamps is mainly a new decoration option. In the past, there was no LED replacement for lamps. We discuss the popularity here, it should be the ratio of the sales volume of LED lamps to the sales volume of traditional lamps, and there is a certain replacement time. Second, the quality of LED lamps is better than expected, and the replacement period of lamps is extended. LED luminaires are not as bad as we fear, and the actual application results are better than reported. To this end, the first-line lighting brand adjustment strategy began to focus on the Japanese market. Analysis of the Japanese experience, the speed of LED lighting in other regions will be faster than expected.
When it comes to LED lighting, people will think more about household lighting fixtures such as bulbs and straight tubes. However, from the analysis of the current situation and prospects of LED penetration in lighting fixtures, the popularity of spotlights and downlights is the highest, and it is expected to achieve high growth in the future. It is predicted that in terms of LED penetration rate in 2014, the spotlight will reach 68% and the downlight will reach 35%.
These lighting fixtures have always used metal halide lamps, which consume a lot of power and the energy-saving effect of introducing LEDs is obvious. Moreover, by using long-life LEDs, the frequency of replacement can also be reduced, which is a major driving factor for LEDs.
The LED penetration rate of bulb-type and straight-tube lighting products is still very low, mainly in the commercial lighting market. Due to the large relative price difference between LED lamps and incandescent lamps and fluorescent lamps, the popularity rate will be slower. The parameters of heat dissipation and light efficiency that have been worried about in the past have been effectively solved, and the factual application proves better than expected. The main influence on LED lighting popularity factor is price and end customer awareness. The negative impact is mainly concentrated on outdoor lighting above 50W, and the general household lighting response is better. Outdoor lighting fixtures may take longer to market.
The influence of LED light on the human body, especially the impact on the existing lamps, is unclear. It is generally believed that incandescent lamps are more healthy than incandescent lamps, but we are not planning to use incandescent lamps. Will fluorescent lighting be better than LED light? I can only wait for everyone to think.
Although in recent years, countries will gradually ban the use of incandescent lamps, it is not easy for many experts to see that incandescent lamps disappear completely. On the contrary, energy-saving fluorescent lamps disappear faster. In addition to the price of fluorescent lamps, each parameter is exceeded by LED lamps, and the price is gradually approaching. In 2014, the sales price will be lower than that of fluorescent lamps. Fluorescent lights will also exit the stage without an administrative command, and incandescent lights will last longer.
LED lighting has a lot of negative reports, we give LEDs higher requirements. In the legislation, LED lamps and lanterns are stricter than the previous lamps, and even higher. For example: LED lamps require high power factor, can not strobe, drop requirements (inconvenient to use glass design), can not be hot, but also support dimming. These faulty LED luminaires that are found on fluorescent lamps are not discounted, and the price is even cheaper. LED luminaires can do better and cheaper.
Although these industry regulations require high standards for LED lamps, it is not the real needs of end customers, or the LED lighting process. With the government's upstream policy gradually shifting to terminal application support, in the implementation of the policy of replacing LED lighting in large-scale residential areas, the popularity of LED lamps is getting closer and closer, in 2014.
But LEDs still make money.